Combat Edge Intelligence

Ebrahem Mahmoud vs Townsend Saunders

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

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Tale of the tape

0-1-0Record0-2-0
WelterweightDivisionWelterweight
6'0"Height5'5"
75''ReachTBD
170 lbsWeight170 lbs
Diesel Fighting AcademyTeamTBD

What's at stake

The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.

Ebrahem MahmoudNow 1471
If they win+24→ 1495
If they lose-24→ 1447
Townsend SaundersNow 1465
If they win+24→ 1489
If they lose-24→ 1441

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1500 · 1 fightsPre-fight Elo1591 · 2 fights

Tracked stat edges

TBD
Sig. strikes / min
TBD
TBD
Strike accuracy
TBD
TBD
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
TBD
TBD
Strike defense
TBD
TBD
Takedown avg.
TBD
TBD
Takedown accuracy
TBD
TBD
Takedown defense
TBD
TBD
Submission avg.
TBD

Trajectory

Ebrahem MahmoudTownsend Saunders
145015001999200020012002200320042005200620072008200920102011201220132014201520162017201820192020202120222023202420252026

Combat Edge model read

Ebrahem Mahmoud72%
Townsend Saunders 28%Elo baseline: 51%

The Combat Edge model makes Ebrahem Mahmoud a 72% favorite over Townsend Saunders in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (51%).

Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1471 vs 1465), separated by just 6 points.

Townsend Saunders enters on a 2-fight loss streak.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.