Combat Edge Intelligence

Ebrahem Mahmoud vs Vik Grujic

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

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Vik Grujic
au

Vik Grujic

“The Spartan”

6-6-0WelterweightLMMA

1474Average

Tale of the tape

0-1-0Record6-6-0
WelterweightDivisionWelterweight
6'0"Height5'11"
75''ReachTBD
170 lbsWeight170 lbs
Diesel Fighting AcademyTeamAlliance MMA

What's at stake

The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.

Ebrahem MahmoudNow 1471
If they win+24→ 1495
If they lose-24→ 1447
Vik GrujicNow 1474
If they win+16→ 1490
If they lose-16→ 1458

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1500 · 1 fightsPre-fight Elo1525 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

TBD
Sig. strikes / min
2.24
TBD
Strike accuracy
48%
TBD
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
3.39
TBD
Strike defense
42%
TBD
Takedown avg.
1.18
TBD
Takedown accuracy
33%
TBD
Takedown defense
27%
TBD
Submission avg.
0.39

Trajectory

Ebrahem MahmoudVik Grujic
15001550201520162017201820192020202120222023202420252026

Win method breakdown

0 (0%)
KO/TKO
2 (33%)
0 (0%)
Submission
2 (33%)
0 (0%)
Decision
2 (33%)

Combat Edge model read

Ebrahem Mahmoud72%
Vik Grujic 28%Elo baseline: 50%

The Combat Edge model makes Ebrahem Mahmoud a 72% favorite over Vik Grujic in a hypothetical meeting — an upset call against the Elo baseline, which leans Vik Grujic's way (50%).

Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1471 vs 1474), separated by just 3 points.

Vik Grujic enters on a 4-fight loss streak.

Vik Grujic 67%.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.