Combat Edge Intelligence

Ebrahem Mahmoud vs Wendell Oliveira

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

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Tale of the tape

0-1-0Record31-16-0
WelterweightDivisionWelterweight
6'0"Height5'11"
75''ReachTBD
170 lbsWeight170 lbs
Diesel Fighting AcademyTeamWar Machine

What's at stake

Ebrahem Mahmoud is the Elo favorite, so a win banks only +21 while a loss costs more — Wendell Oliveira carries the upset premium, with more to gain and less to lose.

Ebrahem MahmoudNow 1471
If they win+21→ 1492
If they lose-27→ 1444
Wendell OliveiraNow 1434
If they win+18→ 1452
If they lose-14→ 1420

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1500 · 1 fightsPre-fight Elo1593 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

TBD
Sig. strikes / min
3.77
TBD
Strike accuracy
48%
TBD
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
4.40
TBD
Strike defense
48%
TBD
Takedown avg.
0
TBD
Takedown accuracy
0%
TBD
Takedown defense
100%
TBD
Submission avg.
0

Trajectory

Ebrahem MahmoudWendell Oliveira
14502020202120222023202420252026

Win method breakdown

0 (0%)
KO/TKO
12 (39%)
0 (0%)
Submission
4 (13%)
0 (0%)
Decision
15 (48%)

Combat Edge model read

Ebrahem Mahmoud78%
Wendell Oliveira 22%Elo baseline: 55%

The Combat Edge model makes Ebrahem Mahmoud a 78% favorite over Wendell Oliveira in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (55%).

Ebrahem Mahmoud holds the higher Combat Edge Elo at 1471 to 1434, a 37-point edge.

Wendell Oliveira enters on a 6-fight loss streak.

Wendell Oliveira 52%.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.