Ebrahem Mahmoud vs William Macario
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
0-1-0Record11-7-0
WelterweightDivisionWelterweight
6'0"Height5'11"
75''ReachTBD
170 lbsWeight170 lbs
Diesel Fighting AcademyTeamPejor
What's at stake
The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.
If they win+23→ 1494
If they lose-25→ 1446
If they win+25→ 1486
If they lose-23→ 1438
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1500 · 1 fightsPre-fight Elo1626 · 8 fights
Tracked stat edges
Tracked UFC statistics may not cover a fighter's full career. Unavailable measurements are not zero.
Elo Trajectory
Ebrahem MahmoudWilliam Macario
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Ebrahem Mahmoud63%
William Macario 37%Elo baseline: 51%
The Combat Edge model makes Ebrahem Mahmoud a 63% favorite over William Macario in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (51%).
Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1471 vs 1461), separated by just 10 points.
William Macario enters on a 2-fight loss streak.
William Macario 73%.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.