Combat Edge Intelligence

Ebrahem Mahmoud vs William Macario

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

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Tale of the tape

0-1-0Record11-7-0
WelterweightDivisionWelterweight
6'0"Height5'11"
75''ReachTBD
170 lbsWeight170 lbs
Diesel Fighting AcademyTeamPejor

What's at stake

The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.

Ebrahem MahmoudNow 1471
If they win+23→ 1494
If they lose-25→ 1446
William MacarioNow 1462
If they win+25→ 1487
If they lose-23→ 1439

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1500 · 1 fightsPre-fight Elo1626 · 8 fights

Tracked stat edges

TBD
Sig. strikes / min
4.92
TBD
Strike accuracy
55%
TBD
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
3.96
TBD
Strike defense
66%
TBD
Takedown avg.
1.85
TBD
Takedown accuracy
45%
TBD
Takedown defense
79%
TBD
Submission avg.
0

Trajectory

Ebrahem MahmoudWilliam Macario
145015002020202120222023202420252026

Win method breakdown

0 (0%)
KO/TKO
7 (64%)
0 (0%)
Submission
1 (9%)
0 (0%)
Decision
3 (27%)

Combat Edge model read

Ebrahem Mahmoud67%
William Macario 33%Elo baseline: 51%

The Combat Edge model makes Ebrahem Mahmoud a 67% favorite over William Macario in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (51%).

Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1471 vs 1462), separated by just 9 points.

William Macario enters on a 2-fight loss streak.

William Macario 73%.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.