Ed Herman vs Jake Shields
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
26-16-0Record33-11-1
Light HeavyweightDivisionWelterweight
6'2"Height6'0"
TBDReachTBD
205 lbsWeight170 lbs
American Top Team Portland· 1662 avg Elo · 3 ratedTeamCesar Gracie Fight Team
What's at stake
Jake Shields is the Elo favorite, so a win banks only +9 while a loss costs more — Ed Herman carries the upset premium, with more to gain and less to lose.
If they win+15→ 1657
If they lose-9→ 1633
If they win+9→ 1743
If they lose-15→ 1719
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1640 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1652 · 10 fights
Tracked stat edges
Tracked UFC statistics may not cover a fighter's full career. Unavailable measurements are not zero.
Elo Trajectory
Ed HermanJake Shields
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Jake Shields62%
Ed Herman 38%Elo baseline: 63%
The Combat Edge model makes Jake Shields a 62% favorite over Ed Herman in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (63%).
Jake Shields holds the higher Combat Edge Elo at 1734 to 1642, a 92-point edge.
Ed Herman enters on a 2-fight loss streak.
Ed Herman finishes 81% of wins inside the distance, Jake Shields 45%.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.