Ed Herman vs Joe Doerksen
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
26-16-0Record51-16-0
Light HeavyweightDivisionMiddleweight
6'2"Height6'0"
TBDReachTBD
205 lbsWeight186 lbs
American Top Team Portland· 1662 avg Elo · 3 ratedTeamCanadian Fighting Centre
What's at stake
Joe Doerksen is the Elo favorite, so a win banks only +10 while a loss costs more — Ed Herman carries the upset premium, with more to gain and less to lose.
If they win+14→ 1656
If they lose-10→ 1632
If they win+10→ 1722
If they lose-14→ 1698
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1640 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1595 · 10 fights
Tracked stat edges
Tracked UFC statistics may not cover a fighter's full career. Unavailable measurements are not zero.
Elo Trajectory
Ed HermanJoe Doerksen
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Joe Doerksen55%
Ed Herman 45%Elo baseline: 60%
The Combat Edge model makes Joe Doerksen a 55% favorite over Ed Herman in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (60%).
Joe Doerksen holds the higher Combat Edge Elo at 1712 to 1642, a 70-point edge.
Ed Herman enters on a 2-fight loss streak.
Joe Doerksen enters on a 4-fight win streak.
Ed Herman finishes 81% of wins inside the distance, Joe Doerksen 84%.
Ed Herman and Joe Doerksen share 2 common opponents: CB Dollaway and C.B. Dollaway.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.
Common opponents (2)
Loss Decision · 2017
Loss Guillotine Choke · 2010