Ed Herman vs Mike Rodriguez
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
26-16-0Record12-7-0
Light HeavyweightDivisionLight Heavyweight
6'2"Height6'3"
TBDReach82,5"
205 lbsWeight205 lbs
American Top Team PortlandTeamLauzon MMA
What's at stake
Ed Herman is the Elo favorite, so a win banks only +10 while a loss costs more — Mike Rodriguez carries the upset premium, with more to gain and less to lose.
If they win+10→ 1652
If they lose-14→ 1628
If they win+18→ 1608
If they lose-14→ 1576
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1640 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1590 · 10 fights
Tracked stat edges
Elo Trajectory
Ed HermanMike Rodriguez
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Mike Rodriguez56%
Ed Herman 44%Elo baseline: 43%
The Combat Edge model makes Mike Rodriguez a 56% favorite over Ed Herman in a hypothetical meeting — an upset call against the Elo baseline, which leans Ed Herman's way (43%).
Ed Herman holds the higher Combat Edge Elo at 1642 to 1590, a 52-point edge.
Ed Herman enters on a 2-fight loss streak.
Ed Herman finishes 81% of wins inside the distance, Mike Rodriguez 100%.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.