Combat Edge Intelligence

Ed Herman vs Nikita Krylov

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

Compare any two fighters →
Ed Herman
us

Ed Herman

“Short Fuse”

26-16-0Light HeavyweightUFC

1642Solid
Nikita Krylov
ua

Nikita Krylov

“The Miner”

31-12-0Light HeavyweightUFC

1691Good

Tale of the tape

26-16-0Record31-12-0
Light HeavyweightDivisionLight Heavyweight
6'2"Height6'3"
TBDReach77"
205 lbsWeight215 lbs
American Top Team PortlandTeamRaty Team

What's at stake

Nikita Krylov is the Elo favorite, so a win banks only +10 while a loss costs more — Ed Herman carries the upset premium, with more to gain and less to lose.

Ed HermanNow 1642
If they win+14→ 1656
If they lose-10→ 1632
Nikita KrylovNow 1691
If they win+10→ 1701
If they lose-14→ 1677

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1640 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1709 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

3.31
Sig. strikes / min
4.36
48%
Strike accuracy
54%
3.71
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
2.59
43%
Strike defense
48%
1.96
Takedown avg.
2.05
48%
Takedown accuracy
37%
59%
Takedown defense
53%
1.04
Submission avg.
1.23

Trajectory

Ed HermanNikita Krylov
16501700202120222023202420252026

Win method breakdown

7 (27%)
KO/TKO
13 (42%)
14 (54%)
Submission
16 (52%)
5 (19%)
Decision
2 (6%)

Combat Edge model read

Nikita Krylov92%
Ed Herman 8%Elo baseline: 57%

The Combat Edge model makes Nikita Krylov a 92% favorite over Ed Herman in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (57%).

Nikita Krylov holds the higher Combat Edge Elo at 1691 to 1642, a 49-point edge.

Ed Herman enters on a 2-fight loss streak.

Ed Herman finishes 81% of wins inside the distance, Nikita Krylov 94%.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.