Ed Herman vs Scott Smith
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
26-16-0Record18-11-0
Light HeavyweightDivisionMiddleweight
6'2"Height6'0"
TBDReachTBD
205 lbsWeight185 lbs
American Top Team Portland· 1662 avg Elo · 3 ratedTeamCapital City Fighting Alliance
What's at stake
The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.
If they win+12→ 1654
If they lose-12→ 1630
If they win+12→ 1642
If they lose-12→ 1618
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1640 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1626 · 10 fights
Tracked stat edges
Tracked UFC statistics may not cover a fighter's full career. Unavailable measurements are not zero.
Elo Trajectory
Ed HermanScott Smith
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Ed Herman56%
Scott Smith 44%Elo baseline: 52%
The Combat Edge model makes Ed Herman a 56% favorite over Scott Smith in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (52%).
Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1642 vs 1630), separated by just 12 points.
Ed Herman enters on a 2-fight loss streak.
Ed Herman finishes 81% of wins inside the distance, Scott Smith 100%.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.