Eddie Alvarez vs Gadzhi Rabadanov
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
30-8-0Record28-5-1
WelterweightDivisionLightweight
5'9"Height5'8"
69,0"Reach71"
170 lbsWeight156 lbs
Ricardo Almeida Jiu-JitsuTeamAbdulmanap Nurmagomedov School· 1729 avg Elo · 6 rated
What's at stake
The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.
If they win+12→ 1807
If they lose-12→ 1783
If they win+12→ 1799
If they lose-12→ 1775
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1713 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1659 · 10 fights
Tracked stat edges
Tracked UFC statistics may not cover a fighter's full career. Unavailable measurements are not zero.
Elo Trajectory
Eddie AlvarezGadzhi Rabadanov
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Gadzhi Rabadanov55%
Eddie Alvarez 45%Elo baseline: 49%
The Combat Edge model makes Gadzhi Rabadanov a 55% favorite over Eddie Alvarez in a hypothetical meeting — an upset call against the Elo baseline, which leans Eddie Alvarez's way (49%).
Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1795 vs 1787), separated by just 8 points.
Gadzhi Rabadanov enters on a 2-fight win streak.
Eddie Alvarez finishes 80% of wins inside the distance, Gadzhi Rabadanov 57%.
Gadzhi Rabadanov carries a 2-inch reach advantage.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.