Eddie Alvarez vs Rafael dos Anjos
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
30-8-0Record32-18-0
WelterweightDivisionLightweight
5'9"Height5'8"
69,0"Reach70"
170 lbsWeight155 lbs
Ricardo Almeida Jiu-JitsuTeamRDA Academy
What's at stake
Eddie Alvarez is the Elo favorite, so a win banks only +9 while a loss costs more — Rafael dos Anjos carries the upset premium, with more to gain and less to lose.
If they win+9→ 1804
If they lose-15→ 1780
If they win+15→ 1713
If they lose-9→ 1689
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1713 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1735 · 10 fights
Tracked stat edges
Tracked UFC statistics may not cover a fighter's full career. Unavailable measurements are not zero.
Elo Trajectory
Eddie AlvarezRafael dos Anjos
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Eddie Alvarez63%
Rafael dos Anjos 37%Elo baseline: 64%
The Combat Edge model makes Eddie Alvarez a 63% favorite over Rafael dos Anjos in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (64%).
Eddie Alvarez holds the higher Combat Edge Elo at 1795 to 1698, a 97-point edge.
Rafael dos Anjos enters on a 4-fight loss streak.
Eddie Alvarez finishes 80% of wins inside the distance, Rafael dos Anjos 50%.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.