Eddie Gordon vs Geoff Pavey
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
8-7-0Record3-3-0
WelterweightDivisionMiddleweight
6'0"Height6'5"
TBDReach-
170 lbsWeight186 lbs
Serra-Longo Fight Team· 1771 avg Elo · 4 ratedTeamSensei MMA
What's at stake
The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.
If they win+16→ 1507
If they lose-16→ 1475
If they win+23→ 1524
If they lose-25→ 1476
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1573 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1515 · 6 fights
Tracked stat edges
Elo Trajectory
Eddie GordonGeoff Pavey
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Geoff Pavey70%
Eddie Gordon 30%Elo baseline: 51%
The Combat Edge model makes Geoff Pavey a 70% favorite over Eddie Gordon in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (51%).
Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1491 vs 1501), separated by just 10 points.
Eddie Gordon enters on a 3-fight loss streak.
Eddie Gordon finishes 50% of wins inside the distance, Geoff Pavey 100%.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.