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Combat Edge Intelligence

Eddie Gordon vs Josh Samman

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

Compare any two fighters →

Tale of the tape

8-7-0Record12-4-0
WelterweightDivisionMiddleweight
6'0"Height6'3"
TBDReach79,0"
170 lbsWeight186 lbs
Serra-Longo Fight Team· 1771 avg Elo · 4 ratedTeamMMA Masters

What's at stake

Josh Samman is the Elo favorite, so a win banks only +11 while a loss costs more — Eddie Gordon carries the upset premium, with more to gain and less to lose.

Eddie GordonNow 1491
If they win+21→ 1512
If they lose-11→ 1480
Josh SammanNow 1607
If they win+11→ 1618
If they lose-21→ 1586

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1573 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1576 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

Tracked UFC statistics may not cover a fighter's full career. Unavailable measurements are not zero.

2.03
Sig. strikes / min
2.08
33%
Strike accuracy
53%
2.57
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
2.47
60%
Strike defense
35%
1.93
Takedown avg.
1.09
83%
Takedown accuracy
33%
64%
Takedown defense
33%
0
Submission avg.
0.36

Trajectory

Eddie GordonJosh Samman
15001550160016502015201620172018

Win method breakdown

3 (38%)
KO/TKO
8 (67%)
1 (13%)
Submission
3 (25%)
4 (50%)
Decision
1 (8%)

Combat Edge model read

Josh Samman63%
Eddie Gordon 37%Elo baseline: 66%

The Combat Edge model makes Josh Samman a 63% favorite over Eddie Gordon in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (66%).

Josh Samman holds the higher Combat Edge Elo at 1607 to 1491, a 116-point edge.

Eddie Gordon enters on a 3-fight loss streak.

Josh Samman enters on a 2-fight loss streak.

Eddie Gordon finishes 50% of wins inside the distance, Josh Samman 92%.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.