Eddie Sanchez vs Justin McCully
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
15-8-0Record11-5-2
HeavyweightDivisionHeavyweight
6'3"Height6'2"
TBDReachTBD
214 lbsWeight235 lbs
Kings MMA· 1670 avg Elo · 7 ratedTeamTeam Punishment
What's at stake
Justin McCully is the Elo favorite, so a win banks only +12 while a loss costs more — Eddie Sanchez carries the upset premium, with more to gain and less to lose.
If they win+15→ 1536
If they lose-9→ 1512
If they win+12→ 1611
If they lose-20→ 1579
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1541 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1521 · 10 fights
Tracked stat edges
Tracked UFC statistics may not cover a fighter's full career. Unavailable measurements are not zero.
Elo Trajectory
Eddie SanchezJustin McCully
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Eddie Sanchez60%
Justin McCully 40%Elo baseline: 39%
The Combat Edge model makes Eddie Sanchez a 60% favorite over Justin McCully in a hypothetical meeting — an upset call against the Elo baseline, which leans Justin McCully's way (39%).
Justin McCully holds the higher Combat Edge Elo at 1599 to 1521, a 78-point edge.
Eddie Sanchez enters on a 3-fight loss streak.
Justin McCully enters on a 2-fight win streak.
Eddie Sanchez finishes 87% of wins inside the distance, Justin McCully 64%.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.