Combat Edge Intelligence

Eddie Wineland vs Johnny Eduardo

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

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Tale of the tape

24-16-1Record28-13-0
BantamweightDivisionBantamweight
5'8"Height5'7"
69"ReachTBD
135 lbsWeight135 lbs
Duneland Vale TudoTeamNova Uniao

What's at stake

The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.

Eddie WinelandNow 1613
If they win+12→ 1625
If they lose-12→ 1601
Johnny EduardoNow 1605
If they win+12→ 1617
If they lose-12→ 1593

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1660 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1613 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

3.40
Sig. strikes / min
2.95
29%
Strike accuracy
40%
3.76
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
3.22
68%
Strike defense
63%
0.34
Takedown avg.
0.22
33%
Takedown accuracy
20%
86%
Takedown defense
59%
0.14
Submission avg.
0.43

Trajectory

Eddie WinelandJohnny Eduardo
1600165020212022

Win method breakdown

15 (65%)
KO/TKO
10 (36%)
4 (17%)
Submission
11 (39%)
4 (17%)
Decision
7 (25%)

Combat Edge model read

Eddie Wineland60%
Johnny Eduardo 40%Elo baseline: 51%

The Combat Edge model makes Eddie Wineland a 60% favorite over Johnny Eduardo in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (51%).

Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1613 vs 1605), separated by just 8 points.

Eddie Wineland enters on a 3-fight loss streak.

Johnny Eduardo enters on a 3-fight loss streak.

Eddie Wineland finishes 83% of wins inside the distance, Johnny Eduardo 75%.

Eddie Wineland and Johnny Eduardo share 1 common opponent: Alejandro Perez.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.

Common opponents (1)

LossDecision (Unanimous) · 2018
Alejandro Perez
LossSubmission · 2021