Eddie Wineland vs Joseph Benavidez
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
24-16-1Record28-8-0
BantamweightDivisionFlyweight
5'8"Height5'4"
69"ReachTBD
135 lbsWeight125 lbs
Duneland Vale TudoTeamXtreme Couture
What's at stake
Joseph Benavidez is the Elo favorite, so a win banks only +7 while a loss costs more — Eddie Wineland carries the upset premium, with more to gain and less to lose.
If they win+17→ 1630
If they lose-7→ 1606
If they win+7→ 1790
If they lose-17→ 1766
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1660 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1718 · 10 fights
Tracked stat edges
Elo Trajectory
Eddie WinelandJoseph Benavidez
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Joseph Benavidez83%
Eddie Wineland 17%Elo baseline: 73%
The Combat Edge model makes Joseph Benavidez a 83% favorite over Eddie Wineland in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (73%).
Joseph Benavidez holds the higher Combat Edge Elo at 1783 to 1613, a 170-point edge.
Eddie Wineland enters on a 3-fight loss streak.
Joseph Benavidez enters on a 3-fight loss streak.
Eddie Wineland finishes 83% of wins inside the distance, Joseph Benavidez 61%.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.