Eddie Wineland vs Renan Barão
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
24-16-1Record34-10-0
BantamweightDivisionBantamweight
5'8"Height5'7"
69"Reach70"
135 lbsWeight135 lbs
Duneland Vale TudoTeamPitbull Brothers· 1624 avg Elo · 6 rated
What's at stake
The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.
If they win+12→ 1624
If they lose-12→ 1600
If they win+17→ 1615
If they lose-15→ 1583
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1659 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1641 · 10 fights
Tracked stat edges
Tracked UFC statistics may not cover a fighter's full career. Unavailable measurements are not zero.
Elo Trajectory
Eddie WinelandRenan Barão
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Renan Barão53%
Eddie Wineland 47%Elo baseline: 48%
The Combat Edge model makes Renan Barão a 53% favorite over Eddie Wineland in a hypothetical meeting — an upset call against the Elo baseline, which leans Eddie Wineland's way (48%).
Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1612 vs 1598), separated by just 14 points.
Eddie Wineland enters on a 3-fight loss streak.
Renan Barão enters on a 6-fight loss streak.
Eddie Wineland finishes 83% of wins inside the distance, Renan Barão 68%.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.