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Combat Edge Intelligence

Eddie Wineland vs Scott Jorgensen

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

Compare any two fighters →

Tale of the tape

24-16-1Record15-12-0
BantamweightDivisionBantamweight
5'8"Height5'5"
69"Reach37.00
135 lbsWeight135 lbs
Duneland Vale TudoTeamTwisted Genetiks

What's at stake

Scott Jorgensen is the Elo favorite, so a win banks only +15 while a loss costs more — Eddie Wineland carries the upset premium, with more to gain and less to lose.

Eddie WinelandNow 1612
If they win+13→ 1625
If they lose-11→ 1601
Scott JorgensenNow 1628
If they win+15→ 1643
If they lose-17→ 1611

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1659 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1642 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

Tracked UFC statistics may not cover a fighter's full career. Unavailable measurements are not zero.

3.40
Sig. strikes / min
3.37
29%
Strike accuracy
40%
3.76
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
3.41
68%
Strike defense
65%
0.34
Takedown avg.
2.61
33%
Takedown accuracy
46%
86%
Takedown defense
60%
0.14
Submission avg.
0.73

Trajectory

Eddie WinelandScott Jorgensen
160016502013201420152016201720182019202020212022

Win method breakdown

15 (65%)
KO/TKO
2 (13%)
4 (17%)
Submission
5 (33%)
4 (17%)
Decision
8 (53%)

Combat Edge model read

The Combat Edge model rates this a near coin-flip, splitting Eddie Wineland and Scott Jorgensen within a point of even.

Scott Jorgensen holds the higher Combat Edge Elo at 1628 to 1612, a 16-point edge.

Eddie Wineland enters on a 3-fight loss streak.

Eddie Wineland finishes 83% of wins inside the distance, Scott Jorgensen 47%.

Eddie Wineland and Scott Jorgensen share 1 common opponent: Alejandro Perez.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.

Common opponents (1)

LossDecision (Unanimous) · 2018
Alejandro Perez
WinKO/TKO · 2015