AdvertisementRemove ads — go Premium
Combat Edge Intelligence

Eddie Wineland vs Takeya Mizugaki

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

Compare any two fighters →

Tale of the tape

24-16-1Record23-14-2
BantamweightDivisionBantamweight
5'8"Height5'7"
69"Reach68,0"
135 lbsWeight135 lbs
Duneland Vale TudoTeamHakkei Gym

What's at stake

The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.

Eddie WinelandNow 1612
If they win+12→ 1624
If they lose-12→ 1600
Takeya MizugakiNow 1621
If they win+12→ 1633
If they lose-12→ 1609

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1659 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1644 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

Tracked UFC statistics may not cover a fighter's full career. Unavailable measurements are not zero.

3.40
Sig. strikes / min
3.37
29%
Strike accuracy
37%
3.76
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
3.27
68%
Strike defense
58%
0.34
Takedown avg.
1.46
33%
Takedown accuracy
58%
86%
Takedown defense
70%
0.14
Submission avg.
0.06

Trajectory

Eddie WinelandTakeya Mizugaki
16001650201720182019202020212022

Win method breakdown

15 (65%)
KO/TKO
5 (22%)
4 (17%)
Submission
1 (4%)
4 (17%)
Decision
17 (74%)

Combat Edge model read

The Combat Edge model rates this a near coin-flip, splitting Eddie Wineland and Takeya Mizugaki within a point of even.

Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1612 vs 1621), separated by just 9 points.

Eddie Wineland enters on a 3-fight loss streak.

Eddie Wineland finishes 83% of wins inside the distance, Takeya Mizugaki 26%.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.