Combat Edge Intelligence

Eddie Wineland vs Yves Jabouin

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

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Tale of the tape

24-16-1Record20-11-0
BantamweightDivisionBantamweight
5'8"Height5'6"
69"ReachTBD
135 lbsWeight135 lbs
Duneland Vale TudoTeamTristar Gym

What's at stake

Eddie Wineland is the Elo favorite, so a win banks only +9 while a loss costs more — Yves Jabouin carries the upset premium, with more to gain and less to lose.

Eddie WinelandNow 1613
If they win+9→ 1622
If they lose-15→ 1598
Yves JabouinNow 1516
If they win+20→ 1536
If they lose-12→ 1504

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1660 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1617 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

3.40
Sig. strikes / min
3.06
29%
Strike accuracy
41%
3.76
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
2.93
68%
Strike defense
63%
0.34
Takedown avg.
1.94
33%
Takedown accuracy
60%
86%
Takedown defense
82%
0.14
Submission avg.
0.11

Trajectory

Eddie WinelandYves Jabouin
15001550160016502013201420152016201720182019202020212022

Win method breakdown

15 (65%)
KO/TKO
11 (55%)
4 (17%)
Submission
1 (5%)
4 (17%)
Decision
8 (40%)

Combat Edge model read

Eddie Wineland61%
Yves Jabouin 39%Elo baseline: 64%

The Combat Edge model makes Eddie Wineland a 61% favorite over Yves Jabouin in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (64%).

Eddie Wineland holds the higher Combat Edge Elo at 1613 to 1516, a 97-point edge.

Eddie Wineland enters on a 3-fight loss streak.

Yves Jabouin enters on a 2-fight loss streak.

Eddie Wineland finishes 83% of wins inside the distance, Yves Jabouin 60%.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.