Combat Edge Intelligence

Eddie Yagin vs Junior Assuncao

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

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Eddie Yagin
us

Eddie Yagin

“The Filipino Phenom”

16-7-1FeatherweightUOMMA

1601Solid

Tale of the tape

16-7-1Record16-8-0
FeatherweightDivisionLightweight
5'6"Height5'9"
TBDReachTBD
145 lbsWeight155 lbs
Kong Submission AcademyTeamAscension MMA

What's at stake

Junior Assuncao is the Elo favorite, so a win banks only +15 while a loss costs more — Eddie Yagin carries the upset premium, with more to gain and less to lose.

Eddie YaginNow 1601
If they win+17→ 1618
If they lose-15→ 1586
Junior AssuncaoNow 1624
If they win+15→ 1639
If they lose-17→ 1607

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1574 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1554 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

3.13
Sig. strikes / min
3.31
30%
Strike accuracy
63%
5.77
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
2.06
42%
Strike defense
44%
0
Takedown avg.
2.43
TBD
Takedown accuracy
24%
63%
Takedown defense
67%
1
Submission avg.
0.70

Trajectory

Eddie YaginJunior Assuncao
160016501700201320142015201620172018

Win method breakdown

5 (31%)
KO/TKO
4 (25%)
5 (31%)
Submission
7 (44%)
6 (38%)
Decision
5 (31%)

Combat Edge model read

Junior Assuncao54%
Eddie Yagin 46%Elo baseline: 53%

The Combat Edge model makes Junior Assuncao a 54% favorite over Eddie Yagin in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (53%).

Junior Assuncao holds the higher Combat Edge Elo at 1624 to 1601, a 23-point edge.

Eddie Yagin enters on a 2-fight loss streak.

Junior Assuncao enters on a 3-fight loss streak.

Eddie Yagin finishes 63% of wins inside the distance, Junior Assuncao 69%.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.