Eddy Ellis vs Joey Hart
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
21-17-1Record9-4-0
WelterweightDivisionWelterweight
5'9"Height6'3"
TBDReach79"
170 lbsWeight171 lbs
United Training CenterTeamStart BJJ· 1603 avg Elo · 3 rated
What's at stake
The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.
If they win+12→ 1613
If they lose-12→ 1589
If they win+16→ 1617
If they lose-16→ 1585
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1560 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1527 · 10 fights
Tracked stat edges
Elo Trajectory
Eddy EllisJoey Hart
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Joey Hart71%
Eddy Ellis 29%Elo baseline: 50%
The Combat Edge model makes Joey Hart a 71% favorite over Eddy Ellis in a hypothetical meeting — an upset call against the Elo baseline, which leans Eddy Ellis's way (50%).
Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1601 vs 1601), separated by just 0 points.
Joey Hart enters on a 2-fight win streak.
Eddy Ellis finishes 81% of wins inside the distance, Joey Hart 89%.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.