Eddy Ellis vs Ronald Humphrey
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
21-17-1Record4-0-0
WelterweightDivisionWelterweight
5'9"Height5'11"
TBDReach77"
170 lbsWeight170 lbs
United Training CenterTeamAmerican Top Team Atlanta
What's at stake
The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.
If they win+12→ 1613
If they lose-12→ 1589
If they win+24→ 1623
If they lose-24→ 1575
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1560 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1490 · 4 fights
Tracked stat edges
Elo Trajectory
Eddy EllisRonald Humphrey
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Ronald Humphrey72%
Eddy Ellis 28%Elo baseline: 50%
The Combat Edge model makes Ronald Humphrey a 72% favorite over Eddy Ellis in a hypothetical meeting — an upset call against the Elo baseline, which leans Eddy Ellis's way (50%).
Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1601 vs 1599), separated by just 2 points.
Ronald Humphrey enters on a 4-fight win streak.
Eddy Ellis finishes 81% of wins inside the distance, Ronald Humphrey 100%.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.