Combat Edge Intelligence

Eddy Millis vs Leonardo Guimaraes

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

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Tale of the tape

0-2-0Record15-14-1
Light HeavyweightDivisionLight Heavyweight
6'1"Height6'0"
TBDReach73"
198 lbsWeight205 lbs
Shark TankTeamTata Fight Team

What's at stake

The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.

Eddy MillisNow 1428
If they win+24→ 1452
If they lose-24→ 1404
Leonardo GuimaraesNow 1432
If they win+16→ 1448
If they lose-16→ 1416

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1536 · 3 fightsPre-fight Elo1523 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

TBD
Sig. strikes / min
TBD
TBD
Strike accuracy
TBD
TBD
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
TBD
TBD
Strike defense
TBD
TBD
Takedown avg.
TBD
TBD
Takedown accuracy
TBD
TBD
Takedown defense
TBD
TBD
Submission avg.
TBD

Trajectory

Eddy MillisLeonardo Guimaraes
14001450200820092010201120122013201420152016201720182019202020212022202320242025

Win method breakdown

0 (0%)
KO/TKO
4 (27%)
0 (0%)
Submission
8 (53%)
0 (0%)
Decision
3 (20%)

Combat Edge model read

Leonardo Guimaraes61%
Eddy Millis 39%Elo baseline: 51%

The Combat Edge model makes Leonardo Guimaraes a 61% favorite over Eddy Millis in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (51%).

Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1428 vs 1432), separated by just 4 points.

Eddy Millis enters on a 3-fight loss streak.

Leonardo Guimaraes 80%.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.