Combat Edge Intelligence

Edgar Cardenas vs Jake McHugh

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

Compare any two fighters →

Tale of the tape

4-1-0Record4-1-0
FeatherweightDivisionFeatherweight
TBDHeight5'10"
TBDReach-
139 lbsWeight146 lbs
Escondido Fight ClubTeamNext Generation MMA Liverpool

What's at stake

The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.

Edgar CardenasNow 1546
If they win+24→ 1570
If they lose-24→ 1522
Jake McHughNow 1545
If they win+24→ 1569
If they lose-24→ 1521

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1485 · 4 fightsPre-fight Elo1495 · 6 fights

Tracked stat edges

TBD
Sig. strikes / min
TBD
TBD
Strike accuracy
TBD
TBD
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
TBD
TBD
Strike defense
TBD
TBD
Takedown avg.
TBD
TBD
Takedown accuracy
TBD
TBD
Takedown defense
TBD
TBD
Submission avg.
TBD

Trajectory

Edgar CardenasJake McHugh
150015502011201220132014201520162017201820192020202120222023202420252026

Win method breakdown

1 (25%)
KO/TKO
1 (25%)
3 (75%)
Submission
2 (50%)
0 (0%)
Decision
1 (25%)

Combat Edge model read

The Combat Edge model rates this a near coin-flip, splitting Edgar Cardenas and Jake McHugh within a point of even.

Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1546 vs 1545), separated by just 1 points.

Edgar Cardenas finishes 100% of wins inside the distance, Jake McHugh 75%.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.