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Combat Edge Intelligence

Edgar Cháirez vs Joshua Van

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

Compare any two fighters →
Joshua Van
mm

Joshua Van

“The Fearless”

18-2-0FlyweightUFC

1817Great

Tale of the tape

14-7-0Record18-2-0
BantamweightDivisionFlyweight
5'7"Height5'5"
71"Reach65"
131 lbsWeight125 lbs
Entram Gym· 1678 avg Elo · 12 ratedTeam4oz. Fight Club· 1605 avg Elo · 9 rated

What's at stake

Joshua Van is the Elo favorite, so a win banks only +8 while a loss costs more — Edgar Cháirez carries the upset premium, with more to gain and less to lose.

Edgar CháirezNow 1635
If they win+24→ 1659
If they lose-8→ 1627
Joshua VanNow 1817
If they win+8→ 1825
If they lose-24→ 1793

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1611 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1711 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

Tracked UFC statistics may not cover a fighter's full career. Unavailable measurements are not zero.

3.76
Sig. strikes / min
8.26
46%
Strike accuracy
58%
4.71
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
5.83
46%
Strike defense
57%
0
Takedown avg.
0.70
0%
Takedown accuracy
0%
48%
Takedown defense
75%
1.44
Submission avg.
0.26

Trajectory

Edgar CháirezJoshua Van
160017001800202420252026

Win method breakdown

4 (29%)
KO/TKO
9 (50%)
9 (64%)
Submission
2 (11%)
1 (7%)
Decision
7 (39%)

Combat Edge model read

Joshua Van85%
Edgar Cháirez 15%Elo baseline: 74%

The Combat Edge model makes Joshua Van a 85% favorite over Edgar Cháirez in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (74%).

Joshua Van holds the higher Combat Edge Elo at 1817 to 1635, a 182-point edge.

Joshua Van enters on a 8-fight win streak.

Edgar Cháirez finishes 93% of wins inside the distance, Joshua Van 61%.

Edgar Cháirez and Joshua Van share 3 common opponents: Bruno Silva, Felipe Bunes and Tatsuro Taira.

Edgar Cháirez carries a 6-inch reach advantage.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.

Common opponents (3)

LossDecision - Unanimous · 2023
Tatsuro Taira
WinTKO · 2026
WinSubmission · 2026
Bruno Silva
WinTKO · 2025
WinDecision (split) · 2026
Felipe Bunes
WinTKO · 2024