Combat Edge Intelligence

Edgar Cháirez vs Victor Dias

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

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Tale of the tape

14-6-0Record12-3-0
BantamweightDivisionFlyweight
5'7"Height5'7"
71"ReachTBD
131 lbsWeight125 lbs
Entram GymTeamAmerican Top Team

What's at stake

The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.

Edgar CháirezNow 1652
If they win+16→ 1668
If they lose-16→ 1636
Victor DiasNow 1653
If they win+16→ 1669
If they lose-16→ 1637

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1593 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1521 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

3.65
Sig. strikes / min
2.87
45%
Strike accuracy
45%
4.75
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
5.80
46%
Strike defense
55%
0
Takedown avg.
5
0%
Takedown accuracy
42%
39%
Takedown defense
0%
1.31
Submission avg.
0

Trajectory

Edgar CháirezVictor Dias
1600165020222023202420252026

Win method breakdown

4 (29%)
KO/TKO
1 (9%)
9 (64%)
Submission
7 (64%)
1 (7%)
Decision
3 (27%)

Combat Edge model read

Edgar Cháirez70%
Victor Dias 30%Elo baseline: 50%

The Combat Edge model makes Edgar Cháirez a 70% favorite over Victor Dias in a hypothetical meeting — an upset call against the Elo baseline, which leans Victor Dias's way (50%).

Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1652 vs 1653), separated by just 1 points.

Edgar Cháirez enters on a 3-fight win streak.

Edgar Cháirez finishes 93% of wins inside the distance, Victor Dias 73%.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.