
Edgar Cháirez vs Joshua Van
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
What's at stake
Joshua Van is the Elo favorite, so a win banks only +10 while a loss costs more — Edgar Cháirez carries the upset premium, with more to gain and less to lose.
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
Tracked stat edges
Elo Trajectory
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
The Combat Edge model makes Joshua Van a 84% favorite over Edgar Cháirez in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (70%).
Joshua Van holds the higher Combat Edge Elo at 1800 to 1652, a 148-point edge.
Edgar Cháirez enters on a 3-fight win streak.
Joshua Van enters on a 7-fight win streak.
Edgar Cháirez finishes 93% of wins inside the distance, Joshua Van 65%.
Edgar Cháirez and Joshua Van share 3 common opponents: Bruno Silva, Felipe Bunes and Tatsuro Taira.
Edgar Cháirez carries a 6-inch reach advantage.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.