Combat Edge Intelligence

Edgar Garcia vs Ronald Humphrey

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

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Tale of the tape

14-5-0Record4-0-0
WelterweightDivisionWelterweight
5'10"Height5'11"
39,0"Reach77"
170 lbsWeight170 lbs
Arizona Athletic ClubTeamAmerican Top Team Atlanta

What's at stake

The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.

Edgar GarciaNow 1598
If they win+16→ 1614
If they lose-16→ 1582
Ronald HumphreyNow 1599
If they win+24→ 1623
If they lose-24→ 1575

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1525 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1490 · 4 fights

Tracked stat edges

3.16
Sig. strikes / min
TBD
30%
Strike accuracy
TBD
4.23
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
TBD
60%
Strike defense
TBD
2.21
Takedown avg.
TBD
57%
Takedown accuracy
TBD
50%
Takedown defense
TBD
0.55
Submission avg.
TBD

Trajectory

Edgar GarciaRonald Humphrey
1550160016502014201520162017201820192020202120222023202420252026

Win method breakdown

8 (57%)
KO/TKO
4 (100%)
4 (29%)
Submission
0 (0%)
2 (14%)
Decision
0 (0%)

Combat Edge model read

Ronald Humphrey70%
Edgar Garcia 30%Elo baseline: 50%

The Combat Edge model makes Ronald Humphrey a 70% favorite over Edgar Garcia in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (50%).

Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1598 vs 1599), separated by just 1 points.

Edgar Garcia enters on a 2-fight loss streak.

Ronald Humphrey enters on a 4-fight win streak.

Edgar Garcia finishes 86% of wins inside the distance, Ronald Humphrey 100%.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.