Edil Esengulov vs Robert Whittaker
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
26-6-1Record27-9-0
Light HeavyweightDivisionMiddleweight
5'6"Height6'0"
-Reach73"
187 lbsWeight186 lbs
What's at stake
The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.
If they win+12→ 1756
If they lose-12→ 1732
If they win+12→ 1764
If they lose-12→ 1740
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1567 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1753 · 10 fights
Tracked stat edges
Elo Trajectory
Edil EsengulovRobert Whittaker
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Edil Esengulov60%
Robert Whittaker 40%Elo baseline: 49%
The Combat Edge model makes Edil Esengulov a 60% favorite over Robert Whittaker in a hypothetical meeting — an upset call against the Elo baseline, which leans Robert Whittaker's way (49%).
Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1744 vs 1752), separated by just 8 points.
Edil Esengulov enters on a 4-fight win streak.
Edil Esengulov finishes 77% of wins inside the distance, Robert Whittaker 59%.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.