Combat Edge Intelligence

Edil Esengulov vs Zak Cummings

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

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Edil Esengulov
kg

Edil Esengulov

“Issyk-Kul Dragon”

26-6-1Light HeavyweightACA

1744Good

Tale of the tape

26-6-1Record25-7-0
Light HeavyweightDivisionLight Heavyweight
5'6"Height6'0"
-ReachTBD
187 lbsWeight205 lbs
Alfa ProfiTeamFactory X

What's at stake

The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.

Edil EsengulovNow 1744
If they win+12→ 1756
If they lose-12→ 1732
Zak CummingsNow 1739
If they win+12→ 1751
If they lose-12→ 1727

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1567 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1677 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

TBD
Sig. strikes / min
2.96
TBD
Strike accuracy
36%
TBD
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
2.91
TBD
Strike defense
55%
TBD
Takedown avg.
0.62
TBD
Takedown accuracy
28%
TBD
Takedown defense
67%
TBD
Submission avg.
0.62

Trajectory

Edil EsengulovZak Cummings
17001750202120222023202420252026

Win method breakdown

12 (46%)
KO/TKO
6 (24%)
8 (31%)
Submission
12 (48%)
6 (23%)
Decision
7 (28%)

Combat Edge model read

Edil Esengulov73%
Zak Cummings 27%Elo baseline: 51%

The Combat Edge model makes Edil Esengulov a 73% favorite over Zak Cummings in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (51%).

Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1744 vs 1739), separated by just 5 points.

Edil Esengulov enters on a 4-fight win streak.

Zak Cummings enters on a 2-fight win streak.

Edil Esengulov finishes 77% of wins inside the distance, Zak Cummings 72%.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.