Combat Edge Intelligence

Edilberto Crocota vs Luke Cummo

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

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Tale of the tape

30-19-2Record6-6-0
WelterweightDivisionWelterweight
6'0"Height6'0"
TBDReachTBD
170 lbsWeight170 lbs
Champion TeamTeamSerra-Longo Fight Team

What's at stake

Edilberto Crocota is the Elo favorite, so a win banks only +20 while a loss costs more — Luke Cummo carries the upset premium, with more to gain and less to lose.

Edilberto CrocotaNow 1568
If they win+20→ 1588
If they lose-28→ 1540
Luke CummoNow 1515
If they win+18→ 1533
If they lose-14→ 1501

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1572 · 2 fightsPre-fight Elo1573 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

4.12
Sig. strikes / min
1.74
32%
Strike accuracy
43%
6.79
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
1.50
61%
Strike defense
60%
0
Takedown avg.
0.89
0%
Takedown accuracy
56%
0%
Takedown defense
43%
0
Submission avg.
1.42

Trajectory

Edilberto CrocotaLuke Cummo
15001550200620072008

Win method breakdown

13 (43%)
KO/TKO
4 (67%)
13 (43%)
Submission
1 (17%)
4 (13%)
Decision
1 (17%)

Combat Edge model read

Edilberto Crocota72%
Luke Cummo 28%Elo baseline: 58%

The Combat Edge model makes Edilberto Crocota a 72% favorite over Luke Cummo in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (58%).

Edilberto Crocota holds the higher Combat Edge Elo at 1568 to 1515, a 53-point edge.

Edilberto Crocota enters on a 2-fight win streak.

Edilberto Crocota finishes 87% of wins inside the distance, Luke Cummo 83%.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.