Combat Edge Intelligence

Edivan Santos vs Junior dos Santos

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

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Tale of the tape

19-5-0Record23-11-0
HeavyweightDivisionHeavyweight
6'7"Height6'4"
45,0"Reach77"
246 lbsWeight250 lbs
Espaco Religiao da LutaTeamChampion Team

What's at stake

The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.

Edivan SantosNow 1647
If they win+16→ 1663
If they lose-16→ 1631
Junior dos SantosNow 1642
If they win+12→ 1654
If they lose-12→ 1630

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1493 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1694 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

1.55
Sig. strikes / min
4.49
49%
Strike accuracy
48%
7.09
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
3.33
26%
Strike defense
56%
0
Takedown avg.
0.30
TBD
Takedown accuracy
50%
25%
Takedown defense
82%
0
Submission avg.
0.06

Trajectory

Edivan SantosJunior dos Santos
165020222023202420252026

Win method breakdown

14 (78%)
KO/TKO
16 (70%)
4 (22%)
Submission
1 (4%)
0 (0%)
Decision
6 (26%)

Combat Edge model read

The Combat Edge model rates this a near coin-flip, splitting Edivan Santos and Junior dos Santos within a point of even.

Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1647 vs 1642), separated by just 5 points.

Edivan Santos enters on a 2-fight win streak.

Junior dos Santos enters on a 6-fight loss streak.

Edivan Santos finishes 100% of wins inside the distance, Junior dos Santos 74%.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.