Combat Edge Intelligence

Edmen Shahbazyan vs Jack Hermansson

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

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Tale of the tape

16-6-0Record24-10-0
MiddleweightDivisionMiddleweight
6'2"Height6'1"
75"Reach77"
185 lbsWeight185 lbs
Xtreme CoutureTeamFrontline Academy

What's at stake

The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.

Edmen ShahbazyanNow 1717
If they win+16→ 1733
If they lose-16→ 1701
Jack HermanssonNow 1721
If they win+12→ 1733
If they lose-12→ 1709

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1685 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1716 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

4.06
Sig. strikes / min
5.13
49%
Strike accuracy
45%
3.87
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
3.70
50%
Strike defense
57%
1.43
Takedown avg.
1.50
24%
Takedown accuracy
30%
67%
Takedown defense
81%
0.36
Submission avg.
0.37

Trajectory

Edmen ShahbazyanJack Hermansson
170017502023202420252026

Win method breakdown

13 (81%)
KO/TKO
11 (46%)
1 (6%)
Submission
6 (25%)
2 (13%)
Decision
7 (29%)

Combat Edge model read

Edmen Shahbazyan67%
Jack Hermansson 33%Elo baseline: 49%

The Combat Edge model makes Edmen Shahbazyan a 67% favorite over Jack Hermansson in a hypothetical meeting — an upset call against the Elo baseline, which leans Jack Hermansson's way (49%).

Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1717 vs 1721), separated by just 4 points.

Jack Hermansson enters on a 2-fight loss streak.

Edmen Shahbazyan finishes 88% of wins inside the distance, Jack Hermansson 71%.

Jack Hermansson carries a 2-inch reach advantage.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.