Combat Edge Intelligence

Edmund Kwan vs John Maguire

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

Compare any two fighters →

Tale of the tape

5-2-0Record26-13-0
LightweightDivisionWelterweight
5'8"Height5'9"
71"ReachTBD
155 lbsWeight169 lbs
American Kickboxing Academy· 1641 avg Elo · 5 ratedTeamTsunami Gym

What's at stake

The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.

Edmund KwanNow 1561
If they win+24→ 1585
If they lose-24→ 1537
John MaguireNow 1559
If they win+12→ 1571
If they lose-12→ 1547

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1507 · 7 fightsPre-fight Elo1519 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

TBD
Sig. strikes / min
1.41
TBD
Strike accuracy
42%
TBD
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
2.44
TBD
Strike defense
65%
TBD
Takedown avg.
2.80
TBD
Takedown accuracy
46%
TBD
Takedown defense
78%
TBD
Submission avg.
1.08

Trajectory

Edmund KwanJohn Maguire
155016002017201820192020202120222023202420252026

Win method breakdown

1 (20%)
KO/TKO
3 (12%)
4 (80%)
Submission
16 (62%)
0 (0%)
Decision
7 (27%)

Combat Edge model read

Edmund Kwan79%
John Maguire 21%Elo baseline: 50%

The Combat Edge model makes Edmund Kwan a 79% favorite over John Maguire in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (50%).

Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1561 vs 1559), separated by just 2 points.

John Maguire enters on a 3-fight loss streak.

Edmund Kwan finishes 100% of wins inside the distance, John Maguire 73%.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.