Combat Edge Intelligence

Edmund Kwan vs Lee Gibson

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

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Lee Gibson
us

Lee Gibson

“Lethal”

12-4-0LightweightSF

1560Solid

Tale of the tape

5-2-0Record12-4-0
LightweightDivisionLightweight
5'8"Height5'7"
71"ReachTBD
155 lbsWeight154 lbs
American Kickboxing Academy· 1641 avg Elo · 5 ratedTeam

What's at stake

The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.

Edmund KwanNow 1561
If they win+24→ 1585
If they lose-24→ 1537
Lee GibsonNow 1560
If they win+24→ 1584
If they lose-24→ 1536

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1507 · 7 fightsPre-fight Elo1487 · 9 fights

Tracked stat edges

TBD
Sig. strikes / min
TBD
TBD
Strike accuracy
TBD
TBD
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
TBD
TBD
Strike defense
TBD
TBD
Takedown avg.
TBD
TBD
Takedown accuracy
TBD
TBD
Takedown defense
TBD
TBD
Submission avg.
TBD

Trajectory

Edmund KwanLee Gibson
1500155016002008200920102011201220132014201520162017201820192020202120222023202420252026

Win method breakdown

1 (20%)
KO/TKO
7 (58%)
4 (80%)
Submission
2 (17%)
0 (0%)
Decision
3 (25%)

Combat Edge model read

Edmund Kwan59%
Lee Gibson 41%Elo baseline: 50%

The Combat Edge model makes Edmund Kwan a 59% favorite over Lee Gibson in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (50%).

Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1561 vs 1560), separated by just 1 points.

Edmund Kwan finishes 100% of wins inside the distance, Lee Gibson 75%.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.