Ednaldo Oliveira vs Gabriel Gonzaga
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
22-13-1Record17-12-0
Light HeavyweightDivisionHeavyweight
6'7"Height6'2"
TBDReach42,0"
206 lbsWeight264 lbs
Champion TeamTeamTeam Link
What's at stake
Gabriel Gonzaga is the Elo favorite, so a win banks only +10 while a loss costs more — Ednaldo Oliveira carries the upset premium, with more to gain and less to lose.
If they win+14→ 1556
If they lose-10→ 1532
If they win+10→ 1622
If they lose-14→ 1598
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1580 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1683 · 10 fights
Tracked stat edges
Tracked UFC statistics may not cover a fighter's full career. Unavailable measurements are not zero.
Elo Trajectory
Ednaldo OliveiraGabriel Gonzaga
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Gabriel Gonzaga55%
Ednaldo Oliveira 45%Elo baseline: 60%
The Combat Edge model makes Gabriel Gonzaga a 55% favorite over Ednaldo Oliveira in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (60%).
Gabriel Gonzaga holds the higher Combat Edge Elo at 1612 to 1542, a 70-point edge.
Ednaldo Oliveira enters on a 2-fight loss streak.
Gabriel Gonzaga enters on a 2-fight loss streak.
Ednaldo Oliveira finishes 59% of wins inside the distance, Gabriel Gonzaga 94%.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.