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Combat Edge Intelligence

Ednaldo Oliveira vs Maurice Smith

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

Compare any two fighters →

Tale of the tape

22-13-1Record12-14-0
Light HeavyweightDivisionLight Heavyweight
6'7"Height6'2"
TBDReachTBD
206 lbsWeight206 lbs
Champion TeamTeamThe Alliance

What's at stake

The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.

Ednaldo OliveiraNow 1542
If they win+12→ 1554
If they lose-12→ 1530
Maurice SmithNow 1546
If they win+12→ 1558
If they lose-12→ 1534

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1580 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1581 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

Tracked UFC statistics may not cover a fighter's full career. Unavailable measurements are not zero.

1.03
Sig. strikes / min
0.41
22%
Strike accuracy
47%
1.80
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
0.47
53%
Strike defense
60%
0
Takedown avg.
0.89
0%
Takedown accuracy
50%
43%
Takedown defense
20%
0
Submission avg.
0.89

Trajectory

Ednaldo OliveiraMaurice Smith
155020132014201520162017201820192020202120222023202420252026

Win method breakdown

11 (50%)
KO/TKO
7 (58%)
2 (9%)
Submission
2 (17%)
9 (41%)
Decision
3 (25%)

Combat Edge model read

Ednaldo Oliveira58%
Maurice Smith 42%Elo baseline: 49%

The Combat Edge model makes Ednaldo Oliveira a 58% favorite over Maurice Smith in a hypothetical meeting — an upset call against the Elo baseline, which leans Maurice Smith's way (49%).

Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1542 vs 1546), separated by just 4 points.

Ednaldo Oliveira enters on a 2-fight loss streak.

Ednaldo Oliveira finishes 59% of wins inside the distance, Maurice Smith 75%.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.