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Combat Edge Intelligence

Ednaldo Oliveira vs Max Grishin

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

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Max Grishin
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Max Grishin

“Drago”

38-10-0HeavyweightRCC

1540Average

Tale of the tape

22-13-1Record38-10-0
Light HeavyweightDivisionHeavyweight
6'7"Height6'7"
TBDReachTBD
206 lbsWeight258 lbs

What's at stake

The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.

Ednaldo OliveiraNow 1542
If they win+12→ 1554
If they lose-12→ 1530
Max GrishinNow 1540
If they win+24→ 1564
If they lose-24→ 1516

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1580 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1657 · 4 fights

Tracked stat edges

Tracked UFC statistics may not cover a fighter's full career. Unavailable measurements are not zero.

1.03
Sig. strikes / min
3.26
22%
Strike accuracy
53%
1.80
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
2.27
53%
Strike defense
59%
0
Takedown avg.
0.21
0%
Takedown accuracy
17%
43%
Takedown defense
67%
0
Submission avg.
0

Trajectory

Ednaldo OliveiraMax Grishin
1550202120222023202420252026

Win method breakdown

11 (50%)
KO/TKO
24 (63%)
2 (9%)
Submission
4 (11%)
9 (41%)
Decision
10 (26%)

Combat Edge model read

Max Grishin52%
Ednaldo Oliveira 48%Elo baseline: 50%

The Combat Edge model makes Max Grishin a 52% favorite over Ednaldo Oliveira in a hypothetical meeting — an upset call against the Elo baseline, which leans Ednaldo Oliveira's way (50%).

Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1542 vs 1540), separated by just 2 points.

Ednaldo Oliveira enters on a 2-fight loss streak.

Ednaldo Oliveira finishes 59% of wins inside the distance, Max Grishin 74%.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.