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Combat Edge Intelligence

Ednaldo Oliveira vs Rob MacDonald

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

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Rob MacDonald
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Rob MacDonald

“Bobby Maximus”

5-4-0HeavyweightTUF

1542Average

Tale of the tape

22-13-1Record5-4-0
Light HeavyweightDivisionHeavyweight
6'7"Height6'3"
TBDReachTBD
206 lbsWeight230 lbs
Champion TeamTeamFranco Behring

What's at stake

The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.

Ednaldo OliveiraNow 1542
If they win+12→ 1554
If they lose-12→ 1530
Rob MacDonaldNow 1542
If they win+24→ 1566
If they lose-24→ 1518

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1580 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1582 · 7 fights

Tracked stat edges

Tracked UFC statistics may not cover a fighter's full career. Unavailable measurements are not zero.

1.03
Sig. strikes / min
1.80
22%
Strike accuracy
50%
1.80
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
2.04
53%
Strike defense
47%
0
Takedown avg.
7.19
0%
Takedown accuracy
80%
43%
Takedown defense
80%
0
Submission avg.
5.39

Trajectory

Ednaldo OliveiraRob MacDonald
1550160020072008200920102011201220132014201520162017201820192020202120222023202420252026

Win method breakdown

11 (50%)
KO/TKO
3 (75%)
2 (9%)
Submission
1 (25%)
9 (41%)
Decision
0 (0%)

Combat Edge model read

Ednaldo Oliveira63%
Rob MacDonald 37%Elo baseline: 50%

The Combat Edge model makes Ednaldo Oliveira a 63% favorite over Rob MacDonald in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (50%).

Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1542 vs 1542), separated by just 0 points.

Ednaldo Oliveira enters on a 2-fight loss streak.

Rob MacDonald enters on a 2-fight loss streak.

Ednaldo Oliveira finishes 59% of wins inside the distance, Rob MacDonald 100%.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.