Combat Edge Intelligence

Ednaldo Oliveira vs Ryan Firinaiu

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

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Tale of the tape

22-13-1Record2-0-0
Light HeavyweightDivisionLight Heavyweight
6'7"Height6'4"
TBDReach-
206 lbsWeight205 lbs
Champion TeamTeamMMA Gold Fight Team

What's at stake

Ryan Firinaiu is the Elo favorite, so a win banks only +23 while a loss costs more — Ednaldo Oliveira carries the upset premium, with more to gain and less to lose.

Ednaldo OliveiraNow 1539
If they win+13→ 1552
If they lose-11→ 1528
Ryan FirinaiuNow 1557
If they win+23→ 1580
If they lose-25→ 1532

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1526 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1512 · 2 fights

Tracked stat edges

1.03
Sig. strikes / min
TBD
22%
Strike accuracy
TBD
1.80
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
TBD
53%
Strike defense
TBD
0
Takedown avg.
TBD
0%
Takedown accuracy
TBD
43%
Takedown defense
TBD
0
Submission avg.
TBD

Trajectory

Ednaldo OliveiraRyan Firinaiu
1550160020222023202420252026

Win method breakdown

11 (50%)
KO/TKO
2 (100%)
2 (9%)
Submission
0 (0%)
9 (41%)
Decision
0 (0%)

Combat Edge model read

Ryan Firinaiu83%
Ednaldo Oliveira 17%Elo baseline: 53%

The Combat Edge model makes Ryan Firinaiu a 83% favorite over Ednaldo Oliveira in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (53%).

Ryan Firinaiu holds the higher Combat Edge Elo at 1557 to 1539, a 18-point edge.

Ryan Firinaiu enters on a 2-fight win streak.

Ednaldo Oliveira finishes 59% of wins inside the distance.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.