Ednilson Santos vs Jorge Gurgel
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
14-8-1Record14-10-0
LightweightDivisionLightweight
5'9"Height5'9"
73"ReachTBD
155 lbsWeight154 lbs
Peso Pesado Gold TeamTeamTeam Jorge Gurgel
What's at stake
The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.
If they win+16→ 1581
If they lose-16→ 1549
If they win+16→ 1580
If they lose-16→ 1548
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1542 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1620 · 10 fights
Tracked stat edges
Tracked UFC statistics may not cover a fighter's full career. Unavailable measurements are not zero.
Elo Trajectory
Ednilson SantosJorge Gurgel
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Ednilson Santos56%
Jorge Gurgel 44%Elo baseline: 50%
The Combat Edge model makes Ednilson Santos a 56% favorite over Jorge Gurgel in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (50%).
Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1565 vs 1564), separated by just 1 points.
Jorge Gurgel enters on a 3-fight loss streak.
Ednilson Santos finishes 57% of wins inside the distance, Jorge Gurgel 71%.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.