Edson Silva vs Ondřej Raška
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
5-4-0Record12-10-0
MiddleweightDivisionMiddleweight
6'0"Height6'2"
TBDReach-
185 lbsWeight185 lbs
Brasa Jiu-JitsuTeamJetsaam Gym Brno· 1629 avg Elo · 3 rated
What's at stake
Edson Silva is the Elo favorite, so a win banks only +23 while a loss costs more — Ondřej Raška carries the upset premium, with more to gain and less to lose.
If they win+23→ 1511
If they lose-25→ 1463
If they win+17→ 1487
If they lose-15→ 1455
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1488 · 9 fightsPre-fight Elo1506 · 10 fights
Tracked stat edges
Elo Trajectory
Edson SilvaOndřej Raška
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Ondřej Raška63%
Edson Silva 37%Elo baseline: 47%
The Combat Edge model makes Ondřej Raška a 63% favorite over Edson Silva in a hypothetical meeting — an upset call against the Elo baseline, which leans Edson Silva's way (47%).
Edson Silva holds the higher Combat Edge Elo at 1488 to 1470, a 18-point edge.
Edson Silva finishes 100% of wins inside the distance, Ondřej Raška 67%.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.