Edson Silva vs Sam Spengler
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
5-4-0Record9-5-0
MiddleweightDivisionMiddleweight
6'0"Height5'11"
TBDReachTBD
185 lbsWeight185 lbs
Brasa Jiu-JitsuTeamSmash Gyms
What's at stake
The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.
If they win+16→ 1540
If they lose-16→ 1508
If they win+16→ 1541
If they lose-16→ 1509
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1498 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1498 · 10 fights
Tracked stat edges
Tracked UFC statistics may not cover a fighter's full career. Unavailable measurements are not zero.
Elo Trajectory
Edson SilvaSam Spengler
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Edson Silva52%
Sam Spengler 48%Elo baseline: 50%
The Combat Edge model makes Edson Silva a 52% favorite over Sam Spengler in a hypothetical meeting — an upset call against the Elo baseline, which leans Sam Spengler's way (50%).
Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1524 vs 1525), separated by just 1 points.
Edson Silva enters on a 2-fight win streak.
Sam Spengler enters on a 4-fight win streak.
Edson Silva finishes 100% of wins inside the distance, Sam Spengler 44%.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.