Edson Barboza vs Esteban Ribovics
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
24-15-0Record17-3-0
FeatherweightDivisionLightweight
5'11"Height5'10"
75"Reach69"
145 lbsWeight155 lbs
American Top TeamTeamKill Cliff FC
What's at stake
Esteban Ribovics is the Elo favorite, so a win banks only +12 while a loss costs more — Edson Barboza carries the upset premium, with more to gain and less to lose.
If they win+15→ 1684
If they lose-9→ 1660
If they win+12→ 1774
If they lose-20→ 1742
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1726 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1694 · 10 fights
Tracked stat edges
Tracked UFC statistics may not cover a fighter's full career. Unavailable measurements are not zero.
Elo Trajectory
Edson BarbozaEsteban Ribovics
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Esteban Ribovics81%
Edson Barboza 19%Elo baseline: 63%
The Combat Edge model makes Esteban Ribovics a 81% favorite over Edson Barboza in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (63%).
Esteban Ribovics holds the higher Combat Edge Elo at 1762 to 1669, a 93-point edge.
Edson Barboza enters on a 4-fight loss streak.
Esteban Ribovics enters on a 2-fight win streak.
Edson Barboza finishes 63% of wins inside the distance, Esteban Ribovics 82%.
Edson Barboza carries a 6-inch reach advantage.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.