Combat Edge Intelligence

Edson Barboza vs Esteban Ribovics

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

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Tale of the tape

24-14-0 Record 15-3-0
Featherweight Division Lightweight
5'11" Height 5'10"
75" Reach 69"
145 lbs Weight 155 lbs
American Top Team Team Kill Cliff FC

What's at stake

Esteban Ribovics is the Elo favorite, so a win banks only +14 while a loss costs more — Edson Barboza carries the upset premium, with more to gain and less to lose.

Edson BarbozaNow 1682
If they win+14→ 1696
If they lose-10→ 1672
Esteban RibovicsNow 1728
If they win+14→ 1742
If they lose-18→ 1710

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Tracked stat edges

4.14
Sig. strikes / min
7.27
45%
Strike accuracy
43%
4.68
Strikes absorbed / min Lower is better
5.83
56%
Strike defense
55%
0.43
Takedown avg.
0.35
32%
Takedown accuracy
0%
73%
Takedown defense
66%
0.08
Submission avg.
0.17

Trajectory

Edson Barboza Esteban Ribovics
1700 1750 2024 2025 2026

Win method breakdown

14 (58%)
KO/TKO
7 (47%)
1 (4%)
Submission
5 (33%)
9 (38%)
Decision
3 (20%)

Combat Edge model read

Esteban Ribovics77%
Edson Barboza23%Elo baseline: 57%

The Combat Edge model makes Esteban Ribovics a 77% favorite over Edson Barboza in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (57%).

Esteban Ribovics holds the higher Combat Edge Elo at 1728 to 1682, a 46-point edge.

Edson Barboza enters on a 3-fight loss streak.

Edson Barboza finishes 63% of wins inside the distance, Esteban Ribovics 80%.

Edson Barboza carries a 6-inch reach advantage.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.