Combat Edge Intelligence

Edson Barboza vs Esteban Ribovics

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

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Tale of the tape

24-15-0Record16-3-0
FeatherweightDivisionLightweight
5'11"Height5'10"
75"Reach69"
145 lbsWeight155 lbs
American Top TeamTeamKill Cliff FC

What's at stake

Esteban Ribovics is the Elo favorite, so a win banks only +13 while a loss costs more — Edson Barboza carries the upset premium, with more to gain and less to lose.

Edson BarbozaNow 1669
If they win+15→ 1684
If they lose-9→ 1660
Esteban RibovicsNow 1746
If they win+13→ 1759
If they lose-19→ 1727

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1725 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1674 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

4.14
Sig. strikes / min
7.27
45%
Strike accuracy
43%
4.68
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
5.83
56%
Strike defense
55%
0.43
Takedown avg.
0.35
32%
Takedown accuracy
0%
73%
Takedown defense
66%
0.08
Submission avg.
0.17

Trajectory

Edson BarbozaEsteban Ribovics
165017001750202420252026

Win method breakdown

14 (58%)
KO/TKO
8 (50%)
1 (4%)
Submission
5 (31%)
9 (38%)
Decision
3 (19%)

Combat Edge model read

Esteban Ribovics92%
Edson Barboza 8%Elo baseline: 61%

The Combat Edge model makes Esteban Ribovics a 92% favorite over Edson Barboza in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (61%).

Esteban Ribovics holds the higher Combat Edge Elo at 1746 to 1669, a 77-point edge.

Edson Barboza enters on a 4-fight loss streak.

Edson Barboza finishes 63% of wins inside the distance, Esteban Ribovics 81%.

Edson Barboza carries a 6-inch reach advantage.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.