Combat Edge Intelligence

Edson Barboza vs Jalin Turner

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

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Jalin Turner
us

Jalin Turner

“The Tarantula”

16-9-0LightweightUFC

1703Good

Tale of the tape

24-15-0Record16-9-0
FeatherweightDivisionLightweight
5'11"Height6'3"
75"Reach77"
145 lbsWeight156 lbs
American Top TeamTeamAdrenaline Combat Sports

What's at stake

Jalin Turner is the Elo favorite, so a win banks only +11 while a loss costs more — Edson Barboza carries the upset premium, with more to gain and less to lose.

Edson BarbozaNow 1669
If they win+13→ 1682
If they lose-11→ 1658
Jalin TurnerNow 1703
If they win+11→ 1714
If they lose-13→ 1690

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1725 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1703 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

4.14
Sig. strikes / min
5.79
45%
Strike accuracy
49%
4.68
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
4.54
56%
Strike defense
42%
0.43
Takedown avg.
0.75
32%
Takedown accuracy
0%
73%
Takedown defense
75%
0.08
Submission avg.
1.06

Trajectory

Edson BarbozaJalin Turner
16501700202420252026

Win method breakdown

14 (58%)
KO/TKO
12 (75%)
1 (4%)
Submission
4 (25%)
9 (38%)
Decision
0 (0%)

Combat Edge model read

Jalin Turner83%
Edson Barboza 17%Elo baseline: 55%

The Combat Edge model makes Jalin Turner a 83% favorite over Edson Barboza in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (55%).

Jalin Turner holds the higher Combat Edge Elo at 1703 to 1669, a 34-point edge.

Edson Barboza enters on a 4-fight loss streak.

Jalin Turner enters on a 2-fight win streak.

Edson Barboza finishes 63% of wins inside the distance, Jalin Turner 100%.

Jalin Turner carries a 2-inch reach advantage.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.