Edson Barboza vs King Green
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
24-15-0Record36-18-1
FeatherweightDivisionLightweight
5'11"Height5'10"
75"Reach71″
145 lbsWeight155 lbs
American Top TeamTeamPinnacle MMA
What's at stake
King Green is the Elo favorite, so a win banks only +11 while a loss costs more — Edson Barboza carries the upset premium, with more to gain and less to lose.
If they win+13→ 1682
If they lose-11→ 1658
If they win+11→ 1720
If they lose-13→ 1696
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1726 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1699 · 10 fights
Tracked stat edges
Tracked UFC statistics may not cover a fighter's full career. Unavailable measurements are not zero.
Elo Trajectory
Edson BarbozaKing Green
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
King Green66%
Edson Barboza 34%Elo baseline: 56%
The Combat Edge model makes King Green a 66% favorite over Edson Barboza in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (56%).
King Green holds the higher Combat Edge Elo at 1709 to 1669, a 40-point edge.
Edson Barboza enters on a 4-fight loss streak.
Edson Barboza finishes 63% of wins inside the distance, King Green 64%.
Edson Barboza and King Green share 2 common opponents: Esteban Ribovics and Jalin Turner.
Edson Barboza carries a 4-inch reach advantage.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.