Edson Barboza vs Ross Pearson
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
24-15-0Record20-17-0
FeatherweightDivisionLightweight
5'11"Height5'8"
75"Reach69,0"
145 lbsWeight155 lbs
American Top TeamTeamCentral Coast MMA
What's at stake
Edson Barboza is the Elo favorite, so a win banks only +9 while a loss costs more — Ross Pearson carries the upset premium, with more to gain and less to lose.
If they win+9→ 1678
If they lose-15→ 1654
If they win+15→ 1587
If they lose-9→ 1563
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1725 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1659 · 10 fights
Tracked stat edges
Elo Trajectory
Edson BarbozaRoss Pearson
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Edson Barboza79%
Ross Pearson 21%Elo baseline: 64%
The Combat Edge model makes Edson Barboza a 79% favorite over Ross Pearson in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (64%).
Edson Barboza holds the higher Combat Edge Elo at 1669 to 1572, a 97-point edge.
Edson Barboza enters on a 4-fight loss streak.
Ross Pearson enters on a 3-fight loss streak.
Edson Barboza finishes 63% of wins inside the distance, Ross Pearson 60%.
Edson Barboza carries a 6-inch reach advantage.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.