Combat Edge Intelligence

Edson Barboza vs Ross Pearson

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

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Ross Pearson

Ross Pearson

“The Real Deal”

20-17-0LightweightMTK

1572Solid

Tale of the tape

24-14-0Record20-17-0
FeatherweightDivisionLightweight
5'11"Height5'8"
75"Reach69,0"
145 lbsWeight155 lbs
American Top TeamTeamCentral Coast MMA

What's at stake

Edson Barboza is the Elo favorite, so a win banks only +8 while a loss costs more — Ross Pearson carries the upset premium, with more to gain and less to lose.

Edson BarbozaNow 1682
If they win+8→ 1690
If they lose-16→ 1666
Ross PearsonNow 1572
If they win+16→ 1588
If they lose-8→ 1564

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1724 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1659 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

4.14
Sig. strikes / min
3.68
45%
Strike accuracy
40%
4.68
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
4.09
56%
Strike defense
62%
0.43
Takedown avg.
0.74
32%
Takedown accuracy
36%
73%
Takedown defense
75%
0.08
Submission avg.
0

Trajectory

Edson BarbozaRoss Pearson
160016501700201720182019202020212022202320242025

Win method breakdown

14 (58%)
KO/TKO
7 (35%)
1 (4%)
Submission
5 (25%)
9 (38%)
Decision
8 (40%)

Combat Edge model read

Edson Barboza72%
Ross Pearson 28%Elo baseline: 65%

The Combat Edge model makes Edson Barboza a 72% favorite over Ross Pearson in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (65%).

Edson Barboza holds the higher Combat Edge Elo at 1682 to 1572, a 110-point edge.

Edson Barboza enters on a 3-fight loss streak.

Ross Pearson enters on a 3-fight loss streak.

Edson Barboza finishes 63% of wins inside the distance, Ross Pearson 60%.

Edson Barboza carries a 6-inch reach advantage.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.