Combat Edge Intelligence

Edson Barboza vs Terry Etim

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

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Tale of the tape

24-15-0Record16-5-0
FeatherweightDivisionLightweight
5'11"Height6'1"
75"ReachTBD
145 lbsWeight155 lbs
American Top TeamTeamTeam Kaobon

What's at stake

Edson Barboza is the Elo favorite, so a win banks only +10 while a loss costs more — Terry Etim carries the upset premium, with more to gain and less to lose.

Edson BarbozaNow 1669
If they win+10→ 1679
If they lose-14→ 1655
Terry EtimNow 1597
If they win+19→ 1616
If they lose-13→ 1584

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1725 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1565 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

4.14
Sig. strikes / min
2.16
45%
Strike accuracy
36%
4.68
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
2.53
56%
Strike defense
67%
0.43
Takedown avg.
0.43
32%
Takedown accuracy
30%
73%
Takedown defense
39%
0.08
Submission avg.
1.42

Trajectory

Edson BarbozaTerry Etim
160016501700201220132014201520162017201820192020202120222023202420252026

Win method breakdown

14 (58%)
KO/TKO
2 (13%)
1 (4%)
Submission
12 (75%)
9 (38%)
Decision
2 (13%)

Combat Edge model read

Edson Barboza75%
Terry Etim 25%Elo baseline: 60%

The Combat Edge model makes Edson Barboza a 75% favorite over Terry Etim in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (60%).

Edson Barboza holds the higher Combat Edge Elo at 1669 to 1597, a 72-point edge.

Edson Barboza enters on a 4-fight loss streak.

Edson Barboza finishes 63% of wins inside the distance, Terry Etim 88%.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.