Edson Barboza vs Turpal Gediev
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
24-15-0Record8-0-0
FeatherweightDivisionLightweight
5'11"Height5'9"
75"Reach71.7"
145 lbsWeight147 lbs
American Top TeamTeamIntegra Fight Gym
What's at stake
The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.
If they win+12→ 1681
If they lose-12→ 1657
If they win+24→ 1694
If they lose-24→ 1646
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1725 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1503 · 8 fights
Tracked stat edges
Elo Trajectory
Edson BarbozaTurpal Gediev
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Turpal Gediev62%
Edson Barboza 38%Elo baseline: 50%
The Combat Edge model makes Turpal Gediev a 62% favorite over Edson Barboza in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (50%).
Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1669 vs 1670), separated by just 1 points.
Edson Barboza enters on a 4-fight loss streak.
Turpal Gediev enters on a 8-fight win streak.
Edson Barboza finishes 63% of wins inside the distance, Turpal Gediev 63%.
Edson Barboza carries a 3-inch reach advantage.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.